2026 Week 18

Updated May 4, 2026, 8:09 PM UTC

Tommy Paul

Tournament

INTERNAZIONALI BNL D'ITALIA

Ranking

#24

Cost

7 cr

Projected Points

144.7

Points / Credit

20.7

Likelihood Matrix

Outcome probability based on Tennis Abstract draw simulation.

R64100%
R3289%
R1655.7%
QF21.2%
SF10.6%
F4.7%
W1.2%

Projected Path

Most likely path based on Tennis Abstract draw simulation.

Top 3
R128

Bye through this round.

R64

Qualifier 12

|54.6% likelihood

Aleksandar Vukic

|45.4% likelihood
R32

Luciano Darderi

|53% likelihood

Hubert Hurkacz

|27.2% likelihood

Yannick Hanfmann

|19.9% likelihood
R16

Alexander Zverev

|68% likelihood

Alexander Blockx

|19.6% likelihood

Tallon Griekspoor

|8.4% likelihood
QF

Rafael Jodar

|36.6% likelihood

Alexander Bublik

|29.1% likelihood

Alex De Minaur

|20.6% likelihood
SF

Novak Djokovic

|30.1% likelihood

Lorenzo Musetti

|20.5% likelihood

Casper Ruud

|19.3% likelihood
F

Jannik Sinner

|59.6% likelihood

Arthur Fils

|9.2% likelihood

Ben Shelton

|5% likelihood