2026 Week 18

Updated May 4, 2026, 8:09 PM UTC

Rafael Jodar

Tournament

INTERNAZIONALI BNL D'ITALIA

Ranking

#34

Cost

5 cr

Projected Points

200.7

Points / Credit

40.1

Likelihood Matrix

Outcome probability based on Tennis Abstract draw simulation.

R64100%
R3283.9%
R1653.3%
QF36.6%
SF18.3%
F9.8%
W3.2%

Projected Path

Most likely path based on Tennis Abstract draw simulation.

Top 3
R128

Bye through this round.

R64

Nuno Borges

|71.9% likelihood

Qualifier 11

|28.1% likelihood
R32

Alex De Minaur

|69.9% likelihood

Jaume Munar

|15.2% likelihood

Matteo Arnaldi

|14.9% likelihood
R16

Alexander Bublik

|60.9% likelihood

Learner Tien

|13.3% likelihood

Sebastian Baez

|10.1% likelihood
QF

Alexander Zverev

|51.5% likelihood

Tommy Paul

|21.2% likelihood

Alexander Blockx

|10.7% likelihood
SF

Novak Djokovic

|30.1% likelihood

Lorenzo Musetti

|20.5% likelihood

Casper Ruud

|19.3% likelihood
F

Jannik Sinner

|59.6% likelihood

Arthur Fils

|9.2% likelihood

Ben Shelton

|5% likelihood