2026 Week 18

Updated May 4, 2026, 8:09 PM UTC

Matteo Arnaldi

Tournament

INTERNAZIONALI BNL D'ITALIA

Ranking

#105

Cost

1 cr

Projected Points

42.6

Points / Credit

42.6

Likelihood Matrix

Outcome probability based on Tennis Abstract draw simulation.

R6449.7%
R3214.9%
R164.4%
QF1.9%
SF0.5%
F0.1%
W0%

Projected Path

Most likely path based on Tennis Abstract draw simulation.

Top 3
R128

Jaume Munar

|100% likelihood
R64

Alex De Minaur

|100% likelihood
R32

Rafael Jodar

|83.9% likelihood

Nuno Borges

|13.7% likelihood

Qualifier 11

|2.4% likelihood
R16

Alexander Bublik

|60.9% likelihood

Learner Tien

|13.3% likelihood

Sebastian Baez

|10.1% likelihood
QF

Alexander Zverev

|51.5% likelihood

Tommy Paul

|21.2% likelihood

Alexander Blockx

|10.7% likelihood
SF

Novak Djokovic

|30.1% likelihood

Lorenzo Musetti

|20.5% likelihood

Casper Ruud

|19.3% likelihood
F

Jannik Sinner

|59.6% likelihood

Arthur Fils

|9.2% likelihood

Ben Shelton

|5% likelihood