2026 Week 18

Updated May 4, 2026, 8:09 PM UTC

Luca Nardi

Tournament

INTERNAZIONALI BNL D'ITALIA

Ranking

#162

Cost

1 cr

Projected Points

24.4

Points / Credit

24.4

Likelihood Matrix

Outcome probability based on Tennis Abstract draw simulation.

R6457.6%
R324.9%
R161.2%
QF0.1%
SF0%
F0%
W0%

Projected Path

Most likely path based on Tennis Abstract draw simulation.

Top 3
R128

Qualifier 1

|100% likelihood
R64

Arthur Fils

|100% likelihood
R32

Frances Tiafoe

|68% likelihood

Ignacio Buse

|18.4% likelihood

Lorenzo Sonego

|13.6% likelihood
R16

Jannik Sinner

|88.7% likelihood

Jakub Mensik

|6.3% likelihood

Matteo Berrettini

|2.7% likelihood
QF

Ben Shelton

|41.7% likelihood

Andrey Rublev

|25% likelihood

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

|18.2% likelihood
SF

Daniil Medvedev

|16.5% likelihood

Felix Auger Aliassime

|13.9% likelihood

Flavio Cobolli

|12.5% likelihood
F

Alexander Zverev

|23.9% likelihood

Novak Djokovic

|16.4% likelihood

Lorenzo Musetti

|10.9% likelihood