2026 Week 18

Updated May 4, 2026, 8:09 PM UTC

Joao Fonseca

Tournament

INTERNAZIONALI BNL D'ITALIA

Ranking

#29

Cost

6 cr

Projected Points

104.4

Points / Credit

17.4

Likelihood Matrix

Outcome probability based on Tennis Abstract draw simulation.

R64100%
R3260.2%
R1629.8%
QF17.1%
SF8.1%
F1.6%
W0.6%

Projected Path

Most likely path based on Tennis Abstract draw simulation.

Top 3
R128

Bye through this round.

R64

Hamad Medjedovic

|71.1% likelihood

Valentin Royer

|28.9% likelihood
R32

Felix Auger Aliassime

|68.5% likelihood

Mariano Navone

|19.4% likelihood

Denis Shapovalov

|12.1% likelihood
R16

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

|38.6% likelihood

Valentin Vacherot

|31.7% likelihood

Roman Andres Burruchaga

|13.3% likelihood
QF

Daniil Medvedev

|26.3% likelihood

Flavio Cobolli

|22% likelihood

Cameron Norrie

|20.5% likelihood
SF

Jannik Sinner

|66.4% likelihood

Arthur Fils

|13.2% likelihood

Ben Shelton

|8.7% likelihood
F

Alexander Zverev

|23.9% likelihood

Novak Djokovic

|16.4% likelihood

Lorenzo Musetti

|10.9% likelihood