2026 Week 18

Updated May 4, 2026, 8:09 PM UTC

Jannik Sinner

Tournament

INTERNAZIONALI BNL D'ITALIA

Ranking

Cost

40 cr

Projected Points

622.6

Points / Credit

15.6

Likelihood Matrix

Outcome probability based on Tennis Abstract draw simulation.

R64100%

R3296.2%

R1688.7%

QF74%

SF66.4%

F59.6%

W49.5%

Projected Path

Most likely path based on Tennis Abstract draw simulation.

Top 3

R128

Bye through this round.

R64

Sebastian Ofner

|53.7% likelihood

Alex Michelsen

|46.3% likelihood

R32

Jakub Mensik

|57.9% likelihood

Matteo Berrettini

|27.6% likelihood

Alexei Popyrin

|14.4% likelihood

R16

Arthur Fils

|71.1% likelihood

Frances Tiafoe

|21.1% likelihood

Ignacio Buse

|3.7% likelihood

Ben Shelton

|41.7% likelihood

Andrey Rublev

|25% likelihood

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

|18.2% likelihood

Daniil Medvedev

|16.5% likelihood

Felix Auger Aliassime

|13.9% likelihood

Flavio Cobolli

|12.5% likelihood

Alexander Zverev

|23.9% likelihood

Novak Djokovic

|16.4% likelihood

Lorenzo Musetti

|10.9% likelihood