2026 Week 18

Updated May 4, 2026, 8:09 PM UTC

Jan Lennard Struff

Tournament

INTERNAZIONALI BNL D'ITALIA

Ranking

#79

Cost

2 cr

Projected Points

37.0

Points / Credit

18.5

Likelihood Matrix

Outcome probability based on Tennis Abstract draw simulation.

R6470.9%
R3219%
R164.4%
QF1%
SF0.3%
F0.1%
W0%

Projected Path

Most likely path based on Tennis Abstract draw simulation.

Top 3
R128

Qualifier 9

|100% likelihood
R64

Jiri Lehecka

|100% likelihood
R32

Casper Ruud

|85.9% likelihood

Marco Trungelliti

|12% likelihood

Zachary Svajda

|2.1% likelihood
R16

Lorenzo Musetti

|56.2% likelihood

Francisco Cerundolo

|28.7% likelihood

Alejandro Tabilo

|11.6% likelihood
QF

Novak Djokovic

|52.4% likelihood

Karen Khachanov

|13.4% likelihood

Arthur Rinderknech

|7.8% likelihood
SF

Alexander Zverev

|36.3% likelihood

Rafael Jodar

|18.3% likelihood

Alexander Bublik

|12.1% likelihood
F

Jannik Sinner

|59.6% likelihood

Arthur Fils

|9.2% likelihood

Ben Shelton

|5% likelihood