2026 Week 18

Updated May 4, 2026, 8:09 PM UTC

Casper Ruud

Tournament

INTERNAZIONALI BNL D'ITALIA

Ranking

#27

Cost

6 cr

Projected Points

202.1

Points / Credit

33.7

Likelihood Matrix

Outcome probability based on Tennis Abstract draw simulation.

R64100%
R3285.9%
R1657.8%
QF31.9%
SF19.3%
F9.9%
W3.3%

Projected Path

Most likely path based on Tennis Abstract draw simulation.

Top 3
R128

Bye through this round.

R64

Marco Trungelliti

|71.5% likelihood

Zachary Svajda

|28.5% likelihood
R32

Jiri Lehecka

|77.2% likelihood

Jan Lennard Struff

|19% likelihood

Qualifier 9

|3.8% likelihood
R16

Lorenzo Musetti

|56.2% likelihood

Francisco Cerundolo

|28.7% likelihood

Alejandro Tabilo

|11.6% likelihood
QF

Novak Djokovic

|52.4% likelihood

Karen Khachanov

|13.4% likelihood

Arthur Rinderknech

|7.8% likelihood
SF

Alexander Zverev

|36.3% likelihood

Rafael Jodar

|18.3% likelihood

Alexander Bublik

|12.1% likelihood
F

Jannik Sinner

|59.6% likelihood

Arthur Fils

|9.2% likelihood

Ben Shelton

|5% likelihood